Yesterday I wrote that Trump would “lose” but that he would actually win. I couldn’t watch most of it. I had it going in the other room but truly every time I heard the harpy’s voice I instinctively shuddered. So I followed Matt Forney’s twitter feed and the debate thread on Catallaxy while I worked away on the final tweakings of the new book, (due out tomorrow!) Post-debate I listened to Forney’s live youtube stream which was good but kept devolving a little too much into what the two participants looked like. Matt, you should get an evil Aussie on next time to keep you seppos inline. (We call you guys seppos in Australia).
But today we have some headlines. What did I say? That Trump would be concentrating on the viewers while Hillary would be trying to “win” the debate?
Hillary was obviously the more prepared, but on a gut level Trump connected with many Americans. He also avoided two major pitfalls: he never got too nasty with Hillary, and though he’s obviously not as knowledgeable on the details, he never got caught out on any embarrassing factual mistake.
Trump needed to counter Clinton’s successful branding of him as having a bad temperament to the point of being dangerous to the country. Trump accomplished exactly that…by…losing the debate … Clinton won the debate last night. And while she was doing it, Trump won the election. He had one thing to accomplish – being less scary – and he did it.
There are many more around the internet but they’re saying the same thing. Of course the MSM are crowing Hillary’s awesomeness but we already predicted that. My analysis is that Hillary prepared feverishly to win the debate without considering that her opponent would know that. She was operating on simple first level thinking. Trump knew that she would do that and he prepared himself accordingly to look calmer, more reserved, and win the voters watching at home. Second level thinking. I reckon he must enjoy the odd game of poker.