Watching.

 

Cameron Crowe and Peter Bart will host a free-wheeling discussion with panelists including Jon Voight, Judd Apatow, Seth Rogen, Diablo Cody, Haskell Wexler and Jeff Berg as part of special Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences salute to Oscar¨-winning film editor and director Hal Ashby on Thursday, June 25, at 7:30 p.m. at the Samuel Goldwyn Theater in Beverly Hills. The conversation will be followed by a screening of AshbyÕs 1971 bittersweet romance ÒHarold and Maude.Ó The salute also will kick off a weekend retrospective screening series at the Linwood Dunn Theater, featuring five new prints of AshbyÕs films from the Academy Film Archive. Pictured:  Peter Sellers in a scene from BEING THERE, 1979.

watching from afar …

My post on it not mattering if Trump wins or not as the US is already set on a certain course got a few comments, and many of them softly disagreed with me along the lines that the US won’t break up because people are passive and won’t endanger themselves unnecessarily. They’re correct if they look at the US as it operates today. But people will start to do all sorts of desperate and crazy shit if they haven’t got enough to eat.

You only have to look at what is happening in Venezuela right now to understand that. It’s how the French revolution began as well. “Let them eat cake.” Remember that beauty? As one commentator pointed out, California is not self sufficient and not by a long way. In other words, it won’t take long for crisis circumstances to cause things there to go bad in a very quick way.

You can make fun of preppers and survivalist nuts, but if I were living somewhere like California right now I’d be looking to get to a different state with a good supply of fresh water in a rural location. Big cities will be ugly too.

A breakdown doesn’t happen overnight. It takes time but the relative time will be short. It’s hard to imagine the Balkanization of the US as it stands today, and as it stands today it is not possible. But I’m not talking about today. I’m talking about tomorrow. Try to imagine how the US will look in five years’ time. It’s not hard – just look at recent history for any number of nations. Or as I’ve already mentioned, look at Venezuela right now.

The strong police and military were also mentioned. Protective services have families too. And they also need to eat. And they will also run out of ammo. The Venezuelan police are now cooperating with street gangs to slice up the turf. They’re not going to just sit back and be victims in the breakdown process. My point is that humans will always follow behaviors along the lines of survival and then greed.

Every self-immolation of a nation is unique but they are all alike in their awfulness. I am but a distant observer, witnessing and commenting from afar. If I were in the thick of it perhaps I might not be so glib. It is ironic that I use the term Balkanization seeing as it was the US who picked the wrong side in that internal conflict and made a mess of things. Just be happy that there is little chance of that happening to you guys. The world is just going to sit back and watch in awe.

6 thoughts on “Watching.

  1. CEO Nikolic

    I have to disagree with you again.

    The U.S. is a terrifically sound civilization, and has been in good operating condition for hundreds of years. Even in the rough beginnings there was good hope. Now? — with all the tech and skilled workers and management? A mass failure? Impossible.

    Only a radical degradation of the operating environment — think dust bowls a la Thirties Oklahoma on the scale of a whole NATION — could hinder the operating of technical excellence that is the U.S.

    Anyway, *waving my hand to you* Adam, come to my site and enlighten my viewers. Today’s article is on sex with Latins and why Mexican culture is so shit. A bit crude but I’m trying to appeal to the masses . . . really, that’s my explanation! Hey, thought police, you can’t drag me away like this . . .

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    1. Now? — with all the tech and skilled workers and management? A mass failure? Impossible.

      “It ain’t what you don’t know that gets you into trouble. It’s what you know for sure that just ain’t so.”

      Quote from unknown falsely attributed to Mark Twain. Included at the start of the film, The Big Short.

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      1. CEO Nikolic

        Inspired by your thought-thread, Adam, I have written an entire LONG article on the nature of a real-world American collapse. Not Balkanization, as you posit, but something more likely. Click on my name to go read it, and click on “The United States: in decline? (part one of 3).” If you have a comment, I’d like to see in on my site.

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      2. Nikolic, I have checked out your site. Keep working on it, you’ve only just started. You’re not going to get people to comment there by haranguing them. Comment on other people’s blogs just to do so, not because you want something in return. Build up relationships with people. Over time comments will come. Good luck.

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      3. CEO Nikolic

        Adam, I believe in aggressive marketing and pulling people in.

        I don’t have years to build a readership. I need many NOW.

        But I have two objectives: build a large body of “lurkers” — and get expert commentators.

        I have three regulars so far, but you would rank up there with the best of them if you joined my site.

        Personally, I find when someone wants me badly, and isn’t a total loser, I’m flattered and gratified. I’m going to keep coming here until you join my site as a commentator.

        The problem is, as per my estimate, there is only one commentator for approximately every 400 lurkers. When you see “2” comments or “3” comments, it makes one’s site look like loserdom. And I NEED A COMMUNITY.

        I see no reason why you can’t, occasionally, add your wisdom to my site.

        Remember, I am aggressive and a good judge of character. I’ve been reading you and you’re excellent. I am more likely to succeed than you, at least superficially, because of my business qualities. But if you go to my site, I’ll send regular traffic to yours. It’s a win-win for both of us, but especially YOU — because you can piggyback on my self-promotion, advertising and marketing without having to labor yourself. And what’s the harm? Drop a paragraph or two here or there. Your name will automatically link viewers of Qedbook to Pushingrubberdownhill.

        Give it a try.

        I will continue writing articles on your site, and continue trying to convince you if you say no. All I say to you, is don’t be jealous if I’m trying to “hijack” you into something. I REALLY AM TRYING TO BUILD RELATIONSHIPS, AND THIS IS MY WAY. *gone*

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  2. Pingback: In The Mailbox: 09.14.16 : The Other McCain

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